Wells Fargo

Economy

A recession is now the base case scenario for Wells Fargo

In making the new projection, Wells Fargo noted that "consumer activity has weakened" considerably as the economy confronts new COVID-19 outbreaks and restrictions, sky-high inflation and a strong U.S. dollar, in addition to the Russian war in Ukraine and aggressive Fed monetary policy.

Markets

As yields rise, some US banks shift cash to Treasuries

Some big U.S. banks are buying more U.S. government securities as yields start to rise and the Federal Reserve appears ready to taper its bond-buying program - a balance sheet shift that analysts say could boost bank earnings by several percentage points depending on how they play their hands.