Oil Declines Amid Stronger Dollar, Crude Oversupply in U.S.
'Demographic Cliff' Author Harry Dent and Bull Reef Brokerage Scott Shellady on falling oil prices, debt and market outlooks.
Oil prices fell Friday, tumbling as the dollar strengthened and a supply glut in top consumer the United States trumped worries about falling production from Libya.
The market had come under pressure from Wednesday's Energy Department report, which showed a 7.3 million-barrel rise in crude inventories to their highest December level on record. Analysts had expected a seasonal decline.
The slide was exacerbated as oil prices reacted to a strengthening dollar index.
"There’s still significant weakness in confidence, and that means that we’re going to have occasional retests to the downside,” said Richard Hastings of Global Hunter Securities. The strengthening dollar index triggered the slide Friday, he said.
Additionally, the market continued to reel from bearish storage data just before the Christmas holiday.
“The numbers on Wednesday were really bearish, and it’s possible the market is still trying to digest them,” said Andrew Lebow of Jefferies in New York. “Maybe the path of least resistance is down here, given that we’ve been in a long down trend.”
Crude imports by Japan, the world's fourth-biggest oil buyer, dropped 17.3 percent in November from a year earlier to 14.68 million kilolitres (3.08 million bpd), government data showed on Thursday.
Brent crude fell 94 cents to $59.34 at 2:21 p.m., while U.S. crude fell $1.29 to $54.55 in thin trade as many countries were still on holiday.
"We tried to rally off of the Libyan situation, but I think that the market is still reeling from larger-than-expected inventory data," said Phil Flynn of Price Futures Group in Chicago.
Fighting in Libya has cut output there to 352,000 barrels a day, a state oil company spokesman said on Thursday, or about half November's average. This countered the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) report showing a big stockbuild.
In Libya, a rocket set a storage tank at the country's biggest export terminal, Es Sider, on fire as armed factions allied to competing governments fought for control, officials from both sides said on Thursday.
On Friday, officials said the blaze had spread to two more tanks.
(By Jessica Resnick-Ault; Additional reporting by Alex Lawler and Henning Gloystein; Editing by Robin Pomeroy, Pravin Char and Chizu Nomiyama)