Consumer ETFs showing the real inflation picture

Walmart is luring more upper-income shoppers who earn around $100,000

Investors trying to gauge the real inflation picture should be paying close attention to how and where consumers are spending their money, and two exchange-traded funds are telling part of this story, as pointed out by Larry McDonald, founder of the Bear Traps Report, during an appearance on FOX Business. 

The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF, which counts General Motors, Chipotle and Deckers among its top holdings, is down for the year, as consumers swap spending on items they want for items they need. 

Ticker Security Last Change Change %
XLY CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR SPDR ETF 222.30 +2.26 +1.03%

By comparison, the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF is up more than 8%. Its top holdings include Procter & Gamble, Costco and Walmart. 

Ticker Security Last Change Change %
XLP CONSUMER STAPLES SELECT SECTOR SPDR ETF 83.22 +0.42 +0.51%

Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF

Walmart, the nation’s largest retailer, said this week that it continues to lure upper-income shoppers – those with incomes above $100,000.

"We see the effect of that in our business specs as they're spending more of their paychecks on non-discretionary categories and less on general merchandise," Chief Financial Officer John David Rainey told analysts on the earnings call Thursday.

WEALTHY SHOPPERS HITTING WALMART IN DROVES

Walmart

 Walmart shares hit a new record high this week following quarterly earnings. 

Ticker Security Last Change Change %
BURBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC 11.58 +0.14 +1.22%
Burberry

A general view of the Burberry store seasonal Holiday windows on Dec. 11, 2013 in New York City.  ( (Photo by Ben Hider/Getty Images))

Luxury fashion house Burberry, where the brand's traditional men’s trench coat retails north of $2,500, dropped a bomb on investors, disclosing annual profits dropped 34% and same-store sales declined 1%.

"Executing our plan against a backdrop of slowing luxury demand has been challenging," Burberry CEO Jonathan Akeroyd said in the report. 

Burberry

Luxury fashion house Burberry disclosed annual profits dropped 34% and same-store sales declined 1%. ((Photo by Claudio Lavenia/Getty Images))

The consumer price index for April provided a mixed picture for Wall Street. 

APRIL INFLATION REMAINS ELEVATED

Annual inflation remained elevated, sitting at 3.4% vs. 3.5% in March, while month-over-month prices eased to 0.3% vs. 0.4%, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

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