Santa Claus rally, FTX fallout, and restart of Keystone top week ahead
Will investors see a Santa Claus rally after stocks fell Friday for a third week?
There is a path for a Santa Claus rally: Ed Clissold
Ned Davis Research chief U.S. strategist examines the stock market's response around the holidays on 'Making Money.'
Investors are poised this week to see whether Christmas miracles really do come true with hopes for a Santa Claus rally. Thus far, the Nasdaq is down 8.7% over the past month, while the S&P 500 and Dow are lower by 4.5% and 3.3%, respectively.
While Sam Bankman-Fried's next court date is not until Jan. 3, 2023, investors will nonetheless be focused on FTX this week after co-founder Gary Wang and former Alameda Research co-CEO Caroline Ellison both entered guilty pleas in federal court. Both are said to be cooperating with authorities.
Initial public offerings this week could include biotech Coya Therapeutics, health tech Nava Health MD, wealth and asset manager Prestige Wealth and marine bunkering facility provider CBL International.
Sam Bankman-Fried leaves Federal Court in New York City on Thursday, December 22, 2022. The former CEO of FTX and Alameda has been released on $250M bail. (Charles Guerin/Abaca for Fox News Digital / Fox News)
BERNIE MADOFF'S LAWYER SAYS SAM BANKMAN-FRIED SHOULD 'SHUT UP'
| Ticker | Security | Last | Change | Change % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I:COMP | NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX | 18945.920003 | -26.50 | -0.14% |
| SP500 | S&P 500 | 5956.96 | +8.25 | +0.14% |
| I:DJI | DOW JONES AVERAGES | 44115.12 | +244.77 | +0.56% |
Monday, December 26
The markets are closed Monday in observance of Christmas. Here are some must-do financial moves to make before year-end.
Tuesday, December 27
Tuesday brings economic data, including the Federal Housing Finance Agency's monthly home price index, which is expected to fall by 0.30% since last month but is still expected to be up by 9.1% year over year.
Last month, William Doerner, the supervisory economist in FHFA’s Division of Research and Statistics commented: "The rate of U.S. house price growth has substantially decelerated. This deceleration is widespread with about one-third of all states and metropolitan statistical areas registering annual growth below 10 percent."
Tuesday will also see the Case-Shiller home price index. Observers expect the measure to fall by 1.2% month over month. House prices are falling as high mortgage rates deter buyers from entering the market. Mortgage rates remain nearly double what they were a year ago, despite falling for six weeks straight.
MORTGAGE RATES CONTINUE DOWNWARD TREND, FALLING FOR SIXTH WEEK
To cope with high inflation and higher costs, UPS will raise delivery fees on Tuesday. Investors will be watching this closely to see how elastic shipping demand is.
Tuesday also marks the deadline for certification of new versions of the Boeing 737 Max, the -10 and -7, and retrofitting existing planes; however, as part of the spending bill passed by the Senate last week, Boeing has been granted an exemption and will no longer have to make the safety changes.
CONGRESS INCLUDES WAIVER FOR BOEING'S NEW 737 MAX JETS IN OMNIBUS SPENDING BILL
The 737-10, the largest member of the 737 MAX family, will provide operators with more capacity, greater fuel efficiency and the best per-seat economics of any single-aisle airplane. (Boeing)
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There are no scheduled earnings calls of note.
Wednesday, December 28
On Wednesday, TC Energy hopes to restart the Keystone pipeline after it was closed in early December after it spilled 14,000 barrels of oil into a creek in Kansas.
A remediation company deploys a boom on the surface of an oil spill after a Keystone pipeline ruptured at Mill Creek in Washington County, Kansas, on Dec. 8, 2022. Vacuum trucks, booms and an emergency dam were constructed on the creek to intercept t (Kyle Bauer/KCLY/KFRM Radio via AP / AP Newsroom)
The Department of Energy’s deadline for bids to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) will expire on Wednesday. President Joe Biden announced the release of 15 million barrels in October.
SpaceX is expected to launch two rockets on Wednesday. Both missions will use SpaceX Falcon 9 rockets. The first rocket will launch another batch of Starlink internet satellites intended for a polar orbit, while the second rocket, which might launch on Thursday instead, will launch the EROS C3 high-resolution Earth-imaging satellite for ImageSat International.
EGG PRICES AT AN ALL-TIME HIGH
Egg producer Cal-Maine Foods will release fiscal second-quarter earnings after the market close. Egg prices have skyrocketed in price due to inflation,
| Ticker | Security | Last | Change | Change % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CALM | CAL-MAINE FOODS INC. | 95.78 | +1.00 | +1.06% |
Thursday, December 29
No earnings of note are scheduled for Thursday.
Economic data will include weekly jobless claims. Initial claims are expected to rise to 220,000, while continuing jobless claims are forecast to remain around 1.67 million. The Energy Information Administration releases its weekly petroleum status report.
Friday, December 30
Friday will see the announcement of the bidding results for Alaskan state oil and gas lease sale for the Cook Inlet area.
The last day of trading for 2022 will see the release of the Chicago Purchasing Manager's Index but no major earnings report
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2023 recession will usher in 'next great buying opportunity': Doug Ramsey
The Fitz-Gerald Group principal Keith Fitz-Gerald and Leuthold Group CIO Doug Ramsey discuss how much further the stock market will decline in 2023 as volatility spikes, on 'The Claman Countdown.'